Here are Sara's portents of climate doom for 2010:
With no sense of history is it any wonder that every storm, every drought, every hailstone gets hailed as "unprecedented", a sign of worse to come. Let's compare the portents of climate doom of 2010 with another random year, lets take 1953, before modern warming-surely things were much calmer back then.
"The blast, accompanied by hail, was brief but devastating and was followed by heavy rain"
"THE fiercest hailstorm in Melbourne's history yesterday damaged more than half the homes, Shops and buildings in the metropolitan area. Destruction is estimated at£1,500,000."
"Flooding rivers and creeks marooned at least, 175 motorists during the week-end."
"A heavy blanket of fog yesterday prevented the temperature in Canberra rising above 40.3 degrees, thus equalling the coldest July day on record."
"BRISBANE, Tuesday. A tornado caused more than £3,000 damage in less than two square miles in the Milchclton-Gaylhorne area near Brisbane to-day."
"MELBOURNE, Monday.-Snow was falling on the loftier peaks of the Victorian Alps to-night when a burst of wintry weather swept through the State."
"Betty McNamara, of Ultimo, and Len Williams, of Redfern, took their cocker spaniel for a swim at Bondi last night. They were cooling off after Sydney's record day of heat."
A pretty close match. But wait there's more...
A pretty close match. But wait there's more...
Farmer dies in storm
LIGHTNING ROCKS SUBURBS
WORST EVER KNOWN
Cyclones Bring Flood Danger To East Australian Coast
Worst fog in years "stopped" city for a night
You want steak knives with that?...
Heavy Flood Damage In Victoria
Four Injured By Huge Hailstones
Hail havoc in North
Grasshopper Plague May Be One of Worst
But wait there's more...
Threat Of "Worst Potato Famine For Years"
Gales lash Tasmania Seasickness — on Hobarts ferry!
RICHMOND RIVER FLOODS MAKE MANY HOMELESS IN LISMORE
Storm Lashes W.A. Coastal Areas
FIVE TONS OF DEAD MICE
Hail havoc in North
Rain Damage At Nubeena
We'll even throw in the table!
The 'cool change' made a mess of Melbourne's summer frocks
CORANGAMITE FLOOD AREAS "BECOMING WORSE"
Dust Storms Ruin Wheat
Year of crazy weather
Violent Hail Storm At St. Marys
Flood kills 10,000 Qld. sheep
BUSHFIRE ON MOUNTAINS
And the chairs...
Bushfire Peril In Q'land
STORM DAMAGE £50,000
SUDDEN STORM IN CITY
STORM DISRUPTS STRAIT SHIPPING
Storm Lashes W.A. Coastal Areas
Farmer dies in storm
Drought Warning
Hey take the whole dining room!
FARMERS FACING DROUGHT RUIN
Drought Hits Coastal Farms
Drought Plight In Tablelands
DROUGHT DECIMATES CATTLE
Drought In The Suburbs
DROUGHT HITS NORTH COAST FARMS
Wheat Men Fear Drought
These are but a handful of the weird weather calamities to make the news in 1953. It seems like the swallows fly every year if you take the time to look out of the fishbowl.
More local, regional and international weather calamities from 1953 or other years can be found at the National Library's collection of Australian Newspapers http://newspapers.nla.gov.au/
It's absolutely true that proof by anecdote is a fallacy. It doesn't mean that anecdotes are false, of course, just that they need to be put into context. We know that the climate is changing in a particular direction not because of anecdote but because of our understanding of the effect of radiative forcing from an increase in greenhouse gases on the climate system.
ReplyDeleteObserved trends in weather events help us understand how extreme weather is changing in response to that forcing.
"extreme weather is changing in response to that forcing..."
ReplyDeleteConsidering what's happening in the southern hemisphere right now, it appears that more than one "forcing" is currently active. Then, of course, there is the bald face fact that in the last 1.3 million years there have been 13 ice ages, average duration 90,000 years, followed by a warming period, average duration 10,000 years. Now there's a REAL forcing!
previous post should be slightly amended to read, "each ice age followed by a warming period, duration 10,000 years...."
ReplyDelete