Monday, March 4, 2013

Lies of the Climate Commission: Part 15 - The disgruntled summer

Some stats of extreme temperatures from the BOM listed below. Odd that in a year the climate was on"steriods" and the "Summer was Angry" (....my friend ...perhaps "like an old man trying to send back soup in a deli") that 2012 and 2013 seem to be MIA. Perhaps not that angry after all. Just a little disgruntled perhaps? (from 0:48)

Hottest Day in December Australia:

Official records for Australia in December

Records valid as of 31 January 2013
RankValue
(°C)
DateStation NameStateStation
Number
Elevation
(m)
Latitude
(°)
Longitude
(°)
149.524 December 1972Birdsville Police StationQLD3800247-25.90139.35
249.421 December 2011RoebourneWA403512-20.78117.15
349.222 December 2011Onslow AirportWA501711-21.67115.11
449.123 December 1972MoombaSA1709639-28.11140.21
549.022 December 1972MarreeSA1703150-29.65138.06
549.006 December 1981Birdsville Police StationQLD3800247-25.90139.35
549.021 December 2011Roebourne AeroWA409011-20.76117.16


Hottest day in January

Official records for Australia in January

Records valid as of 31 January 2013
RankValue
(°C)
DateStation NameStateStation
Number
Elevation
(m)
Latitude
(°)
Longitude
(°)
150.702 January 1960Oodnadatta AirportSA17043117-27.56135.45
250.303 January 1960Oodnadatta AirportSA17043117-27.56135.45
349.803 January 1979Mundrabilla StationWA1100820-31.84127.86
349.813 January 1979Forrest AeroWA11004156-30.84128.11
549.710 January 1939Menindee Post OfficeNSW4701961-32.39142.42


Note Feb yet to be updated. here t'is:


Official records for Australia in February

Records valid as of 28 February 2013
RankValue
(°C)
DateStation NameStateStation
Number
Elevation
(m)
Latitude
(°)
Longitude
(°)
150.519 February 1998MardieWA500811-21.19115.98
249.821 February 1998Emu Creek StationWA6072111-23.03115.04
349.416 February 1998Emu Creek StationWA6072111-23.03115.04
449.209 February 1977MardieWA500811-21.19115.98
549.118 February 1998RoebourneWA403512-20.78117.15


And the National tally, not a single 2012 or 2013!

NATIONAL

Highest temperature

StateTemperature (°C)DatePlace nameLatitudeLongitude
South Australia50.72 January 1960Oodnadatta-27.56135.45
Western Australia50.519 February 1998Mardie-21.19115.98
New South Wales49.710 January 1939Menindee-32.39142.42
Queensland49.524 December 1972Birdsville-25.90139.35
Victoria48.87 February 2009Hopetoun-35.72142.36
Northern Territory48.31 & 2 January 1960Finke-25.58134.57
Tasmania42.230 January 2009Scamander-41.46148.26

Lowest temperature

StateTemperature (°C)DatePlace nameLatitudeLongitude
New South Wales-23.029 June 1994Charlotte Pass-36.43148.33
Tasmania-13.030 June 1983Butlers Gorge-42.28146.27
-13.030 June 1983Shannon-42.05146.75
-13.030 June 1983Tarraleah-42.30146.45
Victoria-11.715 June 1965Omeo-37.10147.60
-11.73 July 1970Falls Creek-36.87147.28
Queensland-10.623 June 1961Stanthorpe-28.66151.93
-10.612 July 1965The Hermitage-28.21152.10
South Australia-8.220 July 1976Yongala-33.03138.75
Northern Territory-7.517 July 1976Alice Springs-23.80133.89
Western Australia-7.217 August 2008Eyre-32.25126.00

Rainfall - highest daily

StateRainfall (mm)DatePlace nameLatitudeLongitude
Queensland907.03 February 1893Crohamhurst-26.81152.87
New South Wales809.221 February 1954Dorrigo-30.34152.71
Western Australia747.03 April 1898Whim Creek-20.84117.84
Northern Territory544.615 April 1963Roper Valley-14.93134.01
Victoria375.022 March 1983Tanybryn-38.68143.68
Tasmania352.022 March 1974Cullenswood-41.59148.13
South Australia272.614 March 1989Motpena-31.19138.28

Rainfall - highest monthly

StateRainfall (mm)MonthPlace nameLatitudeLongitude
Queensland5387.0January 1979Bellenden Ker (Top Station)-17.29145.92
New South Wales1620.6January 1974Upper Crystal Creek-28.28153.31
Western Australia1540.4January 2011Kuri Bay-15.49124.52
Northern Territory1252.1January 2003Redbank Mine-17.19137.74
Victoria989.6July 1964Falls Creek-36.87147.28
Tasmania984.0October 1988Mount Mawson-42.68146.58
South Australia676.0March 1989Balcanoona-30.53139.30

Rainfall - highest annual

StateRainfall (mm)YearPlace nameLatitudeLongitude
Queensland12461.02000Bellenden Ker (Top Station)-17.29145.92
New South Wales4539.71950Tallowwood Point-30.35152.87
Tasmania4504.11948Lake Margaret Dam-41.99145.57
Victoria3738.51956Falls Creek-36.86147.28
Northern Territory2953.22000Channel Point-13.17130.12
Western Australia2380.62000Kimberley Coastal Camp-14.58125.91
South Australia1852.61917Aldgate-35.02138.75


Call that an Angry Summer? Now this is an angry summer (and spring and Autumn!)...

Maximum temperatures at Marble Bar, 1923/1924

Maximum temperatures at Marble Bar, 1 October 1923 to 28 April 1924 showing the record number of days over 100°F (37.8°C).

Lies of the Climate Commission: Part 14 - Climate on steriods!

A few years back ABC's resident Climate catastrophist, environmental activist Sarah Phillips, put together a post that linked weather events and the climate. In her piece "One swallow does not a summer make" Sara saw the signs of climate disaster in 2010's weather events, linking 7 weather events with dangerous man made climate doom.

The Climate Commission has gone one better and described the current weather as the "Angry Summer" due to "Climate on Steroids". In response to Sarah's piece we put together a list of Weather events for 1953 to compare. Here's a recap for those who think the Commission has jumped the shark (again).


Let's compare  the portents of climate doom of 2010 with another random year, lets take 1953,  before modern warming-surely things were much calmer back then.
"The blast, accompanied by hail, was brief but devastating and was followed by heavy rain"
"THE fiercest hailstorm in Melbourne's history yesterday damaged more than half the homes, Shops and buildings in the metropolitan area. Destruction is estimated at£1,500,000."
"Flooding rivers and creeks marooned at least, 175 motorists during the week-end."
"A heavy blanket of fog yesterday prevented the temperature in Canberra rising above 40.3 degrees, thus equalling the coldest July day on record."
"BRISBANE, Tuesday. A tornado caused more than £3,000 damage in less than two square miles in the Milchclton-Gaylhorne area near Brisbane to-day."
6.SNOW IN VIC.(in February!)
"MELBOURNE, Monday.-Snow was falling on the loftier peaks of the Victorian Alps to-night when a burst of wintry weather swept through the State."
"Betty McNamara, of Ultimo, and Len Williams, of Redfern, took their cocker spaniel for a swim at Bondi last night. They were cooling off after Sydney's record day of heat."

A pretty close match (to the seven). But wait there's more...

farmer dies in storm

lightning rocks suburbs

worst ever known

cyclones bring flood danger to east australian coast

worst fog in years "stopped" city for a night


You want steak knives with that?...

heavy flood damage in victoria

four injured by huge hailstones

hail havoc in north

grasshopper plague may be one of worst


but wait there's more...

threat of "worst potato famine for years"

gales lash tasmania seasickness — on hobarts ferry! 

richmond river floods make many homeless in lismore

storm lashes w.a. coastal areas

five tons of dead mice

hail havoc in north

rain damage at nubeena


we'll even throw in the table!

the 'cool change' made a mess of melbourne's summer frocks

corangamite flood areas "becoming worse"

dust storms ruin wheat

year of crazy weather

violent hail storm at st. marys

flood kills 10,000 qld. sheep 

bushfire on mountains


and the chairs...

bushfire peril in q'land

storm damage £50,000

sudden storm in city

storm disrupts strait shipping

storm lashes w.a. coastal areas

farmer dies in storm

drought warning


Hey take the whole dining room!

farmers facing drought ruin

drought hits coastal farms

drought plight in tablelands

drought decimates cattle

drought in the suburbs

drought hits north coast farms

wheat men fear drought


These are but a handful of the weird weather calamities to make the news in 1953. It seems like the swallows fly every year if you take the time to look out of the fishbowl.
                           
More local, regional and international weather calamities from 1953 or other years can be found at the National Library's collection of Australian Newspapers http://newspapers.nla.gov.au/

New Look

ABC's web page has been given a makeover....

News has been given more prominence but most of the page is taken up by the photo link. Can't wait for the photo mix ups to re-appear!

Any thoughts on how much they paid? The last one was pretty hard to get around, this doesn't seem any better.

Friday, March 1, 2013

Pays to read the source

ABC once again push the panic button on a WHO report on a Health Risk Assessment of the Fukashima Nuclear Disaster. The ABC story by Reuters fails to adequately explain the WHO findings.

The source document is quite clear and succinct on the risks. Here are a few things missing from ABC's report.
This from the report's executive summary:
"Outside of the geographical areas most affected by radiation, even in locations within Fukushima prefecture, the predicted risks remain low and no observable increases in cancer above natural variation in baseline rates are anticipated."


"The estimated dose levels in Fukushima prefecture were also too low to affect fetal development or outcome of pregnancy and no increases, as a result of antenatal radiation exposure, in spontaneous abortion, miscarriage, perinatal mortality, congenital defects or cognitive impairment are anticipated."


The Exec. summary states: "In the two most affected locations of Fukushima prefecture, the preliminary estimated radiation effective doses for the first year ranged from 12 to 25 mSv."

However ABC's report claims:
"The report found that these people received a lifetime radiation dose of up to 50 milli-Sieverts (MSV) and therefore have a significant, but relatively small, additional risk of contracting cancer in later life."

ABC's report states:
"In the most contaminated area, the WHO estimated there was a 70 per cent higher risk of females exposed as infants developing thyroid cancer over their lifetime.
The thyroid is the most exposed organ as radioactive iodine concentrates there and children are deemed especially vulnerable."

 ABC fails to add the important follow on information explaining the risk for Thyroid cancer:
"Due to the low baseline rates of thyroid cancer, even a large relative increase represents a small absolute increase in risks. For example, the baseline lifetime risk of thyroid cancer for females is just three-quarters of one percent and the additional lifetime risk estimated in this assessment for a female infant exposed in the most affected location is one-half of one percent."

It was only in the geographically smaller areas where exposures were higher that the increased cancer risks are significant. For thyroid cancer the actual increase in risk is one-half of one percent.

Nothing ABC loves more than a beat up!